Scientists in South Africa: AIDS is expected to fall 40 years

Medical experts study found that antiretroviral therapy will not only be able to extend the life of AIDS patients, but also can reduce HIV infections.

Expert initiative, the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) testing as a whole routine medical projects, an early detection of virus carriers, timely treatment, so hopefully in the next five years on the spread of AIDS, 40 years for AIDS virus in human society itself.

Reduce the spread of

Who the former officials, South Africa epidemiological models and Analysis Centre for epidemiology Professor Brian Williams in the United States for the advancement of science annual meeting, said that antiretroviral therapy will enable virus concentration was reduced to the original one, so that the virus infectious dropped to one-fifth of the original 20, this means that if more virus carriers can receive antiretroviral therapy as early as possible, then the new infections are reduced.

United States cable news network (CNN) site 21, invoked his words: "we may be in 5 years from the effective suppression (AIDS).

"The United Nations programme on HIV/AIDS and the World Health Organization 2008 statistics show that about 33 million people worldwide living with HIV, 2 million people died of AIDS, and new infections by 270 million people. Typically, an HIV carriers in the event of a complication of AIDS infection, may 5-10 people.

Cost-effective

Williams, who has attained the age of 15-year-old HIV testing every year for the early detection of infection, to antiviral treatment as soon as possible.

But he admits that this measure exactly how to do this quite difficult and expensive.

Williams said that the implementation of this recommendation is expensive, only South Africa country expected to take up to 30 billion a year to $ 4 billion.

But from the AIDS patients in the hospital treatment costs and the loyalist who AIDS perspective, this recommendation is without doubt or cost-effective. The world at the moment for AIDS research and treatment cost of $ 300 billion a year, some experts estimate that this figure will double in 10 years.

Preparing pilot

Williams said: "I hope we can start in one or two years of implementation of this project, and covered entirely in 5 years.

"The project will be carried out in Africa and the United States, the pilot area residents pilot accept annual HIV testing, such as positive, immediately begin antiretroviral therapy.

Two years will determine whether this measure as a public health policy in the world.